Manish Patel weSIPM akapa chiitiko chisingafadzi pamusoro pekusagadzikana kuri kuitika mumisika yepasi rose fibre, bhokisi remabhokisi nemabhokisi emarara panguva yeICCA Congress musi wa4 Gumiguru.Akaratidza kuti kumanikidza kweChina kuchenesa nharaunda kuchaita sei India

Manish Patel weSIPM panguva yemharidzo yake kuICCAA (Indian Corrugated Case Manufacturers Association) Congress akati yaive nguva yeBlack Swan yeindasitiri yemidziyo muIndia.Chikonzero: yakave nemhedzisiro yakakura uye mamiriro equo akashandurwa mukati-kunze uye kumusoro pasi.The raison d aitre: Kusundidzira kweChina kuchenesa zviito uye mutero wekutsiva.

Vatungamiriri vepamusoro bhokisi rehuori vanosanganisira Kirit Modi, mutungamiri weICCAA akataura kuti kuderera kwemusika kwazvino kwakasiyana.Panguva ino vanokonzereswa nekusaenzana kwekupihwa uye kudiwa kwakakonzerwa nesarudzo yehurumende yeChina yekumisikidza zvakatemerwa zvezvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika.Aya maratidziro matsva, ane muganho we 0.5% kusvibiswa, anga achinetsa kuAmerica, Canadian neEurope yakasanganiswa bepa uye yakasanganiswa mapurasitiki anodzokorodza.Asi zvinoshungurudza, zvakakonzera kusviba uye kuparara paindasitiri yeIndia.

Saka chii chakaitika?

Musi wa 31 Zvita 2017, China yakamisa marara epurasitiki akawanda - semabhodhoro esoda anoshandiswa kamwe chete, mapepa echikafu, uye mabhegi epurasitiki - ayo aimbotengeswa kunze kwenyika kumahombekombe ayo kunoraswa.
Mutongo usati wapihwa mutongo uyu, China ndiyo yainyanya kutenga kunze kwenyika.Pazuva rekutanga ra2018, yakamira kugamuchira mapurasitiki akadzokororwa uye mapepa asina kurongedzwa kubva kunze kwenyika, uye akarambidza zvakanyanya kupinza makadhibhodi.Huwandu hwezvinhu zvakadzoserwa zvakatumirwa America, mutengesi mukuru wepasirese wezviraswa, kuChina aive 3 metric tonnes (MT) isingasviki muhafu yekutanga ya2018 pane gore rapfuura, kudonha kwe38%.

Mukutaura chaiko, izvi zvinoverengera kuita kunze kwenyika kweUSD 24bn-yakakosha marara.Uyezve mapepa akasanganiswa uye mapolymers ave kupera simba pakudzoreredza zvidyarwa kutenderera nyika dzekuMadokero.Pakazosvika 2030, kurambidzwa kunogona kusiya 111 miriyoni MT yemarara epurasitiki pasina kwekuenda.
Handizvo zvoga.Nokuti, chirango chinokura.

Patel akataura kuti kugadzirwa kweChina kwemapepa nemapepa kwakakura kusvika pamamiriyoni zana nemakumi maviri eMT muna 2015 kubva pamatani emamiriyoni gumi muna 1990. Kugadzirwa kweIndia matani 13,5 miriyoni.Patel akati, pakave nekushomeka makumi matatu muzana muRCP (yakadzokororwa uye marara bepa) yebhokisi rebhokisi nekuda kwezvirambidzo.Izvi zvakonzera zvinhu zviviri.Imwe, inokwira mudzimba OCC (yekare corrugated cardboard) mitengo uye 12 miriyoni MT kushomeka kwebhodhi muChina.

Pavanenge vachitaurirana nenhume dzakabva kuChina kumusangano uye kuratidzwa kwakatarisana, vakataura neWhatPackaging?pamirayiridzo yakasimba yokusazivikanwa.Mumiriri anobva kuShanghai, akati, "Hurumende yeChina yakaomesesa nezvemutemo wayo we0.5% uye kuderedza kusvibiswa."Saka chii chinoitika kumakambani zviuru zvishanu zvekudzokorodza zvakare nevanhu vane miriyoni gumi vanoshanda muindasitiri yeChinese, mhinduro yaive yekuti, "Hapana chekutaura sezvo indasitiri iri kuvhiringa uye yakaoma uye inokanganisa muChina.Iko hakuna ruzivo uye kushaikwa kwechimiro chakakodzera - uye yakazara chiyero uye mhedzisiro yemutemo mutsva weChina une mativi mazhinji ekupinza zvinhu kunze kwenyika hausati wanyatsonzwisiswa.

Chinhu chimwe chakajeka, mvumo yekupinda muChina inotarisirwa kusimba.Mumwe mugadziri wekuChina akati, “Mabhokisi ane makora anoumba inodarika hafu yepepa rinoshandiswazve neChina rinotengwa kunze kwenyika nekuda kwetambo refu, dzakasimba.Iwo giredhi rakachena kupfuura mapepa akasanganiswa, kunyanya mabhokisi ane marara kubva kumaakaundi ekutengesa. "Pane kusava nechokwadi nezvemaitiro ekuongorora ayo ari kukonzera matambudziko mu mainland China.Uye saka, vanogadzira mapepa vanozeza kutumira mabhero eOCC kudzamara vaziva kuti ongororo ichaenderana uye inofanotaurwa.

Misika yeIndia ichasangana nemhirizhonga kwemwedzi gumi nemiviri inotevera.Sezvakataurwa naPatel, hunhu hwakasarudzika hweChina RCP kutenderera inokonzerwa zvakanyanya nekutengesa kwayo kunze.Vati, 20% yeChinese GDP inokwidziridzwa nekutengesa kunze kwenyika uye "sezvo kutengeswa kwezvinhu kunze kweChina kuri chirongwa chekurongedza, pane kudiwa kwakasimba kwebhokisi.

Patel akati, "Musika weChinese wemagiredhi akaderera ebhodhi (inozivikanwawo sekraft paper muIndia) inoyevedza zvakanyanya maererano nemitengo yevanogadzira mapepa eIndia, Middle East neSouth East Asia.Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuChina nedzimwe nzvimbo kuMiddle East, South Asia neAfrica neIndia uye mamwe magiyo edunhu haasi kungoyamwa huwandu hwakawandisa mumisika yemumba asi kugadzira kushomeka.Izvi zviri kukwidza mitengo kune vese vanogadzira mabhokisi edunhu vane makora kusanganisira avo vari kuIndia.

Akatsanangura kuti zvigayo zvemapepa muSouth East Asia, India neMiddle East zviri kuyedza sei kuzadza gomba iri.Iye akati, "Kushomeka kweChinese kwemamiriyoni gumi nemaviri-gumi nemaviri MT/gore) kunodarika zvakanyanya masimba epasi rose.Uye saka, vagadziri vakuru veChinese vanozopindura sei kune sosi faibha yezvigayo zvavo muChina?Ko vagadziri vezvekuUS vachakwanisa kuchenesa marara avo ekurongedza?Ko zvigayo zvemapepa zveIndia zvichachinja kutarisisa kwavo (uye purofiti) kuenda kuChina panzvimbo yemusika wemuno?

Iyo Q&A mushure memharidzo yaPatel yakajekesa, kuti kufanotaura hakuna maturo.Asi iri rinoratidzika sedambudziko rakaipisisa mumakore gumi apfuura.
Nekuda kunotarisirwa kukwidziridzwa kuzadzisa zvinodikanwa zvee-commerce blockbuster online kutenga mazuva uye yechinyakare Diwali zororo mwaka, mwedzi mishoma inotevera inotaridzika yakaoma.India ine chakadzidza here kubva muchikamu chazvino, kana senguva dzose, isu tichaora mwoyo, uye tombonyarara kusvika chimwe chinotevera chaitika?Kana kuti tichaedza kuwana mhinduro?